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West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)

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It's not true that all techno-optimist ideas come from old sci-fi shows. Some of them come from old back issues of the National Review.

It took some tough bargaining, but the Tesla board managed to keep Musk's pay plan under $1 trillion

Not so much the fact itself as the fact people are talking about the fact

Dispatches from a still-not-burning Los Angeles.

Nothing to worry about here -- Nvidia edition

More (non)weird weather

This is probably a non-story, old news about the president's health blown up by internet buzz and wishful thinking, but it's also a reminder of how strange and unstable the dynamic of this White House is and of the gaping double standard in recent press coverage.

It's Labor Day, so we're taking time off and running a repost

Are LLMs a Langley steam plane? A Newhart airline? What's the best metaphor for the current state of AI?

Shadowy surveillance company started by a reactionary Bond villain suddenly started trading at a P/E over 500 shortly after Trump was elected -- probably nothing to see here

Whether it's due to battered spouse syndrome or dumb money, the entire stock market is now one big this is fine meme.

How to report on an obvious lie

More on AI and Wall Street

The people who are surprised by the rise of the Silicon Valley alt-right are the people who weren't paying attention to Silicon Valley

If the AI Boom turns out to be a bubble, how loud will the pop be?

This is why women love the Three Stooges

In completely unrelated news, Tesla closed yesterday with a P/E ratio of 194

My mind makes strange connections

Elon Musk takes one out of the Sheriff Bart playbook

Dr. Elara Voss -- LLMs' own Jungian archetypal memory?

To be a good historian you have to be a good statistician...

Trip to the library

"About a 30-minute drive south along the highways that split up the city, residents in majority-white areas live on average 24 years longer."

The bad news is that the push against "debanking" is massively hypocritical and is driven by crypto-bros and fin-tech scammers. The good news is that Patrick Boyle has a video on it.

Trump isn't behind all of the looming economic catastrophes. (Sometimes it's his tech bro pals.)

MACA: Make America China Again (OK, the "Again" doesn't really work but you try coming up with cute titles for fifteen years)

Josh Marshall on the value of credible data and on the cost of losing it

The worst possible time to start playing Kriegspiel with the US economy

A Letter from Tom Lehrer

Eight years ago at the blog -- perhaps our most evergreen post

"Indeed, if you can’t wrestle with the heavy amount of absurd at the heart of our political moment you will simply be lost or be having an irrelevant conversation with other gatekeepers."

Musk : engineering :: Trump : deal-making

R.I.P. Tom Lehrer 1928-2025 (Part 2)