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Healthy Cooking Tips from a Lazy Person

Doctor Strange Didn't See Only One Victory out of 14,000,605 Futures

Is It So Much to Ask for a Nice Reliable Aggregated X-Risk Forecast?

Annual Subscription Discounts Usually Aren't Worth It

LLMs Might Already Be Conscious

In Which I Defend Fruit's Honor

Updates Digest: Inaugural Edition

Against Ergodicity Economics

Let's Take a Moment to Marvel At How Bad the Original USDA Food Pyramid Was

Can You Maintain Lean Mass in a Calorie Deficit?

Why Would AI Companies Use Human-Level AI to Do Alignment Research?

Do Protests Work? A Critical Review

The Triple-Interaction-Effects Argument

You Can Now Read My Reading Notes

There Are Three Kinds of "No Evidence"

Return Stacked Funds: A New Way to Get Leverage

I Was Probably Wrong About HIIT and VO2max

Retroactive If-Then Commitments

The 7 Best High-Protein Breakfast Cereals

Charity Cost-Effectiveness Really Does Follow a Power Law

"You Can't Calculate the Expected Utility of a Communist Revolution"

Thoughts on My Donation Process

Where I Am Donating in 2024

Subjects in Pysch Studies Are More Rational Than Psychologists

My Submission for Worst Argument In The World

Outlive: A Critical Review

I Have Whatever the Opposite of a Placebo Effect Is

Protein Quality (DIAAS) Calculator

Just Because a Number Is a Rounding Error Doesn't Mean It's Not Important

A 401(k) Sometimes Isn't Worth It

Continuing My Caffeine Self-Experiment

Some Things I've Changed My Mind On

Notes on Eat, Drink, and Be Healthy

What's the Healthiest Body Composition?

What's the Healthiest BMI?

Caffeine Cycling Self-Experiment

How Well Did Scott Alexander's List of Social Science Findings Hold Up?

Explicit Bayesian Reasoning: Don't Give Up So Easily

Does Caffeine Stop Working?

Avoiding Caffeine Tolerance

Utilitarianism Isn't About Doing Bad Things for the Greater Good. It's About Doing the Most Good

The United States Is Weird

Should Patient Philanthropists Invest Differently?

Two Types of Scientific Misconceptions You Can Easily Disprove

Most Theories Can't Explain Why Game of Thrones Went Downhill

Philanthropists Probably Shouldn't Mission-Hedge AI Progress

The Review Service Vortex of Death

Index Funds That Vote Are Active, Not Passive

A Preliminary Model of Mission-Correlated Investing

How I Estimate Future Investment Returns

Can Good Writing Be Taught?

Existential Risk Reduction Is Naive (And That's a Good Thing)

Altruistic Investors Care About Other Altruists' Portfolios

Should Earners-to-Give Work at Startups Instead of Big Companies?

Obvious Investing Facts

Future Funding/Talent/Capacity Constraints Matter, Too

Low-Hanging (Monetary) Fruit for Wealthy EAs

Do I Read My Own Citations?

Summaries Are Important

Argumentative Tactics I Would Like to Stop Seeing

My Experience Trying to Force Myself to Do Deep Work

Mission Hedgers Want to Hedge Quantity, Not Price

How Do AI Timelines Affect Giving Now vs. Later?

Metaculus Questions Suggest Money Will Do More Good in the Future

Reverse-Engineering the Philanthropic Discount Rate

How Can We Increase the Frequency of Rare Insights?

Investment Strategies for Donor-Advised Funds

A Comparison of Donor-Advised Fund Providers

More Evidence on Concentrated Stock Selection

The True Cost of Leveraged ETFs

Investors Can Simulate Leverage via Concentrated Stock Selection

Asset Allocation and Leverage for Altruists with Constraints

Uncorrelated Investments for Altruists

If Causes Differ Astronomically in Cost-Effectiveness, Then Personal Fit In Career Choice Is Unimportant

Donor-Advised Funds vs. Taxable Accounts for Patient Donors

The Risk of Concentrating Wealth in a Single Asset

"Disappointing Futures" Might Be As Important As Existential Risks

Mission Hedging via Momentum Investing

Giving Now vs. Later for Existential Risk: An Initial Approach

Should We Prioritize Long-Term Existential Risk?

The Importance of Unknown Existential Risks

Estimating the Philanthropic Discount Rate

Do Theoretical Models Accurately Predict Optimal Leverage?

How Much Leverage Should Altruists Use?

Correction on Giving Now vs. Later

Are All Actions Impermissible Under Kantian Deontology?

New Page: Convert Credences into a Bet

What Are the Best TV Shows (According to IMDb Episode Ratings)?

High School Science Experiments

How Can Donors Incentivize Good Predictions on Important but Unpopular Topics?

Should Global Poverty Donors Give Now or Later?

Why Do Small Donors Give Now, But Large Donors Give Later?

Where Some People Donated in 2017

Newcomb's Problem and Efficient Markets

All Expected Utility Distributions Have One of Two Big Problems

New Comment System

An Idea for How Large Donors Can Support Small Charities

Do Investors Put Too Much Stock in the US?

Ideas Too Short for Essays

Good Ventures/Open Phil Should Make Riskier Grants