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Grey Enlightenment

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Posts

The daily view: Silver Surges as Bitcoin Keeps Falling , Bad Advice/Bullshit,

The Killing of Alex Pretti: We’re Living in Trump’s America

Prediction markets and insider trading

Claims of Trump having Dementia are Unfounded

Trump tariffs victory lap

Scott Alexander on Scott Adams

A tariff is not a tax

Obesity and SNAP: the overlooked IQ connection

The Daily View 1/12/2026: Bitcoin Party is Over, IQ Threshold Effects, ‘MAHA’ food guidelines

Math vs Writing: difficulty and threshold effects

“Why are white-collar jobs so resilient , even with AI?”

Coffeezilla: the most overrated scam investigator

U.S. Strikes Venezuela, Maduro Deposed: My thoughts

Yarvin: the Trump window has closed

Predictions for 2026

Shared Dissatisfaction in an Age of Liberal Disillusion

2025 predictions recap: my most accurate year ever

“Vibecession” reflects an increasingly difficult economy and society

“The Lost Generation”

Meritocratic Wealth vs Lottery Wealth

Lies can persist when it’s not worth investigating the truth

Culture hasn’t stagnated; rather, it has become more niche.

Defense writing thrives because everyone is a critic

Systems beat AI (Bitcoin case study)

Gatekeeping and Cringe

The Daily View 12/8/2025: Positivity, AI vs. Math, Bitcoin vs. QQQ, Undigested Calories

There are no good solutions to the ‘accommodations crisis’

Jan 6th pipe bomber arrested: analysis

Update on weight-loss drug predictions: right again

The Daily View 12/1/2025: Bitcoin collapse, AI bubble,

It’s time to treat serious ‘state crimes’ as federal crimes

No one has any power

A Heuristic for Preventing Information Overload

Organic virality vs. astroturfing

Bitcoin’s collapse continues…

Why the US has done so well despite mediocre ‘national IQ’

The Rise of the Vibes-Based Right

50-year mortgages are probably not that bad

Aristocratic Tutoring Cannot Explain von Neumann’s Success

Declaring Victory: A Big Fat Zero for Crypto Donors (*over the past year)

Grading Trump: A “B+” So far

No, Fuentes hasn’t already won

Don’t expect Trump to do anything about healthcare costs, inflation, or student loan debt

AI and The Government Shutdown

Groyperization on the Decline

Leave where we last left off

Hanania’s rewriting of history

The Monetization Trap: When Profits Come at the Expense of Productivity

Almonds and Bitcoin: Way Too Soon to Declare Victory for Crypto Donors

Bulking, Metabolism, and Selection Effects

Suggestion to Fix Reddit

Against IQ Modesty

The daily view 10/21/2025: Irony, AI bubble, AI-book flop, Autism, and Covid

Enough with the sales hype: there is nothing special about sales

Bitcoin Continues to Crash as ‘Bitcoin Reserve’ Hopes Fade: Right again + Analysis

Wealth and Social Atomization in America

US-China trade wars resume: Bitcoin hedge a success

Why content production continues to thrive in spite of AI

If you’re actually smart, there is no excuse to not be able to make money

Two thoughts on AI: How it’s different from past bubbles

Is AI a bubble? Maybe, or maybe not. Who cares

The pitfalls and worthlessness of commonsense advice

Bitcoin update: three negative factors, and more correct predictions

Efficient markets and the replication crisis

Metabolism and IQ, revisited

Indians and Football, a response

If someone writes it, no one will read it

Code-switching and the normcore-right

Employees/Tech Workers do Not Need to Care if AI is a Bubble

Why higher stock market valuations may be sustainable

Why Trump’s H-1B Fee is Not That Big of a Deal

Shorting Bitcoin as the Perfect Hedge