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Dr Kevin Bonham

follow: @[email protected]

Posts

Stafford By-Election: Prospects and Live

Farrer By-Election Live

The Urban Myth That "Sack Dan Andrews" Was A Labor Front

Would Scrapping Group Ticket Voting In Victoria Help One Nation?

Legislative Council 2026: Huon and Rosevears Live And Post-Count (Plus Nepean!)

The Amazing 2026 South Australian Election: Final Lower House Results And Poll Performance

Legislative Council 2026: Rosevears

Tasmania Redistribution: The Reaction

Legislative Council Voting Patterns 2022-6

South Australia Postcount 2026: Finniss

South Australia Postcount 2026: Hammond (And Ngadjuri)

South Australia Postcount 2026: Kavel

South Australia 2026: Postcount Summary, Links Hub and Basic 2CP Contests

South Australia 2026 Postcount: Heysen

South Australia 2026 Live

South Australia 2026: Final Polls Still Have Liberals Third

Legislative Council 2026: Huon

Nightcliff By-Election (This May Be A Very Short Thread)

Tasmania Redistribution: Draft Scraps The Franklin Divide

Why Did One Nation Win 11 Seats In Queensland 1998 But None In 1998 Federal?

Tall Cories: Bernardi's Bunkum About Preferences

EMRS: What Happens When You Take A Mess And Then Throw In One Nation?

South Australia 2026: What Can The Right Still Win?

Farrer By-Election 2026

DemosAU: Status Quo-ish Poll, But Is There An Elephant Outside The Room?

Not-A-Poll Reset 1 of 2026: Ley Rolled

The Low Impact Of Independent Preferences On Labor's 2025 Federal Win

Poll Roundup: What Do We Do With A Split Coalition ... Or A Rampant One Nation?

Dear Anti-Preferencers, November 21st For Australia Day !!!

What's the most federal electorates you have been to in a day?

Why Hunter 2025 Can't Be Used To Do Last-Election Labor vs One Nation Preference Flows

This Person And Why They Are Wrong: Episode 1, Wasted Vote Guy

Helen Burnet Quits The Greens!

2025 Site Review

Australia's Worst Oppositions: Phase 2 Not-A-Poll Results

2025 Polling Year In Review

EMRS: Liberals Slip But Labor Again Doesn't Pick Up The Scraps

Brad Battin's Booting Is A Poll History Outlier

DemosAU: Liberals Increase Lead Ahead Of Budget

False Declaration: Minor Right Nonsense About Senate Reform

Australia's Worst Oppositions: How Many Will Win?

Tasmanian Redistribution: Clark Must Expand, But Where?

Yes Federal Parliament Should Be Expanded And No It Isn't A Partisan Fix

2025-2028 2PP Aggregate Methods Page

Poll Roundup: Liberal Crisis As Honeymoon 2.0 Rumbles On

How Labor Won 94 Seats Off A Modest Primary Vote. It Mostly Wasn't Preferences

Hare-Clark! Why Do We Have It? Are There Any Alternative Approaches?

EMRS: What Doesn't Kill Rockliff Just Makes Him Stronger

Not-A-Poll: Australia's Worst Opposition!

Tasmania 2025: The Endgame Live

Tasmania 2025: What Went Down When Gray Met The House In 1989

Tasmania 2025: Confidence Position Tracker

Tasmania 2025: Just As Hung But More Polarised

2025 Tasmanian Election: Pathways To Government

2025 Tasmanian Postcount: Lyons

2025 Tasmanian Postcount: Franklin

2025 Tasmanian Postcount: Clark

2025 Tasmanian Postcount: Braddon

2025 Tasmanian Postcount: Bass

Tasmania Remains Ungovernable: 2025 Election Tallyboard And Summary

Tasmanian Election Day 2025

Tasmania 2025: YouGov Has Majors Much Closer

2025 Tasmanian Polling Aggregate V1

Bradfield Court Of Disputed Returns Challenge

DemosAU: More Friendly Fire Than Seat Swing?

2025 Federal Post-Election Pendulum

What Can We Really Draw From The Liberal EMRS Poll?

2025 Federal Election Pollster Performance Review