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Calculated Risk

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Cotality: House Prices Increased 1.4% YoY in July

Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September 2025

MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey

Wednesday: PPI

CPI Preview

Employment: Preliminary annual benchmark revision shows downward adjustment of 911,000 jobs

1st Look at Local Housing Markets in August

Tuesday: Employment Statistics Preliminary Benchmark

Wholesale Used Car Prices Unchanged in August; Up 2% Year-over-year

September ICE Mortgage Monitor: House Prices Up Slightly Year-over-year

Recession Watch Metrics

Housing September 8th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 1.7% Week-over-week

Sunday Night Futures

AAR Rail Traffic in August: Intermodal and Carload Traffic Increased YoY

Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: What will happen with house prices?

Schedule for Week of September 7, 2025

Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.8% Year-over-year

Q3 GDP Tracking

What will happen with House Prices?

Comments on August Employment Report

August Employment Report: 22 thousand Jobs, 4.3% Unemployment Rate

Friday: Employment Report

Las Vegas in July: Visitor Traffic Down 12% YoY

Heavy Truck Sales Decreased 16% YoY in August

Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year

Light Vehicles Sales Decreased to 16.07 million SAAR in August

ISMĀ® Services Index Increased to 52% in August; Prices Paid Very High

Trade Deficit Increased to $78.3 Billion in July

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 237,000

ADP: Private Employment Increased 54,000 in August

Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit, ISM Services

Fed's Beige Book: "Little or no change in economic activity"

Q2 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO

BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 7.2 million in July

MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey

Wednesday: Job Openings, Beige Book

Construction Spending Decreased 0.1% in July

ISMĀ® Manufacturing index at 48.7% in August

Freddie Mac House Price Index Declined in July; Up 1.4% Year-over-Year

Tuesday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

Update: Lumber Prices Up 11% YoY

Housing September 1st Weekly Update: Inventory Down 0.1% Week-over-week; Down 10.3% from 2019 Levels

Realtor.com Reports Median listing price was flat year over year

Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller House Prices Up 1.9% YoY in July

Schedule for Week of August 31, 2025

Q3 GDP Tracking

Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 1.1% Year-over-year

PCE Measure of Shelter Declined to 4.0% YoY in July

Personal Income Increased 0.4% in July; Spending Increased 0.5%

Friday: July Personal Income and Outlays

Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rates Unchanged in July

Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.5% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 9.8% below 2022 peak

NAR: Pending Home Sales Decrease 0.4% in July; Up 0.7% YoY

Q2 GDP Growth Revised up to 3.3% Annual Rate

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 229,000

Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales

How to Prevent the Next Financial Crisis

Final Look at Local Housing Markets in July and a Comment on July Sales from Tom Lawler

MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey

Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications

A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices

Newsletter: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 1.9% year-over-year in June

Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 1.9% year-over-year in June

Tuesday: Case-Shiller, Durable Goods, Richmond Fed Mfg

ICE First Look at July Mortgage Performance: "Delinquencies Ease in July"

Newsletter: New Home Sales at 652,000 Annual Rate in July

New Home Sales at 652,000 Annual Rate in July