AI as Normal Technology

Steering AI Beyond Automation

A big-tent or small-tent AI safety movement?

AI existential risk probabilities are (still) too unreliable to inform policy

The AI-as-Normal-Technology view of loss-of-control incidents

AI agents can't yet do open-ended AI research

What will be left for us to work on?

Up the Stack: How AI’s Escape From the Commodity Trap Risks Enterprise Lock-in

Why AI hasn’t replaced software engineers, and won’t

Did Google’s AI agents really build an operating system for $916?

Do AI Risks Require Extraordinary Government Intervention?

Open-world evaluations for measuring frontier AI capabilities

New Paper: Towards a science of AI agent reliability

AI Won’t Automatically Make Legal Services Cheaper

Fact checking Moravec's paradox

A guide to understanding AI as normal technology

Could AI slow science?

AGI is not a milestone

AI as Normal Technology

Is AI progress slowing down?

We Looked at 78 Election Deepfakes. Political Misinformation is not an AI Problem.

Does the UK’s liver transplant matching algorithm systematically exclude younger patients?

FAQ about the book and our writing process

Can AI automate computational reproducibility?

Start reading the AI Snake Oil book online

AI companies are pivoting from creating gods to building products. Good.

AI existential risk probabilities are too unreliable to inform policy

New paper: AI agents that matter

AI scaling myths

Scientists should use AI as a tool, not an oracle

AI leaderboards are no longer useful. It's time to switch to Pareto curves.

AI Snake Oil is now available to preorder

Tech policy is only frustrating 90% of the time

AI safety is not a model property

A safe harbor for AI evaluation and red teaming